World Cup 2026 Winner Odds
Available in USThis page tracks the tournament outright (winner) market with implied probabilities and recent movement. France have moved to the head of the market; Argentina and England have shortened. Odds are from the FACT_PACK dated 22 June 2026 (source FOX Sports / FanDuel, cross-checked).
On this page
Winner odds table
| Selection | Odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| France | 4.70 | ≈ 21.3% |
| Spain | 6.50 | ≈ 15.4% |
| England | 6.50 | ≈ 15.4% |
| Argentina | 9.00 | ≈ 11.1% |
| Portugal | 11.00 | ≈ 9.1% |
| Brazil | 13.00 | ≈ 7.7% |
| Germany | 13.00 | ≈ 7.7% |
| Netherlands | 16.00 | ≈ 6.3% |
| Norway | 31.00 | ≈ 3.2% |
| United States | 34.00 | ≈ 2.9% |
(Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds, before the bookmaker margin.)
24-hour movers
| Selection | Move | Direction | Trigger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | ≈ 11.00 → 9.00 | Shortened | Messi hat-trick v Algeria |
| England | ≈ 8.00 → 6.50 | Shortened | 4–2 win over Croatia |
| United States | → ≈ 34.00 | Shortened | 2–0 win over Australia |
| Ecuador / Uruguay | drifted | Lengthened | Market drift |
- France (4.70) lead the outright market ahead of Spain (6.50).
- Argentina (9.00) have shortened after the Messi hat-trick.
- England (6.50) firmed after beating Croatia.
- Germany (13.00), already through with the best goal difference, stand out on value.
Reading the market
On value, Germany at 13.00 is the stand-out in the upper bracket — two wins, seven goals and qualification secured, yet still priced as a mid-pack chance. Argentina at 9.00 has likely absorbed the Messi effect. The wider market sits on the Betting Markets pillar; the scorer market on Golden Boot Odds; the editorial pick on Winner Prediction.
FAQ
Odds as at 20–21 June 2026 (decimal, winner market; source FOX Sports / FanDuel, cross-checked). The market moves continuously; confirm with your bookmaker. Odds in AUD. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
